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Adrian Kavanagh
Little change heading into the Summer Recess…: Constituency-level analysis of Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion poll (26th June 2016)
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The April and May Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion polls had shown Fianna Fail edging ahead of Fine Gael, but Fine Gael regains the initiative in the latest in the latest in the series of Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes opinion polls, albeit by the narrowest of margins. Trends in this opinion poll are relatively similar to those evidenced at the February 26th election, although Sinn Fein find themselves in a notably stronger position in this poll, whereas support levels for Labour, the Social Democrats and Renua fall below the levels won by these parties at the general election. My constituency-level analysis of these poll figures estimates that party seat levels, should such national support trends be replicated in an actual general election, would be as follows: Fine Gael 51, Fianna Fail 45, Sinn Fein 27, Anti Austerity Alliance-People Before Profit 6, Labour Party 3, Social Democrats 2, Green Party 2, Independents 22.
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