Peer-Reviewed Journal Details
Mandatory Fields
Pina-Sánchez J., Gosling J., Chung H., Bourgeois E., Geneletti S., Marder I.
2019
June
British Journal of Criminology
Have the England and Wales Guidelines Affected Sentencing Severity? An Empirical Analysis Using a Scale of Severity and Time-Series Analyses
Published
2 ()
Optional Fields
Guidelines, Sentencing Severity, Thurstone, Time-series
59
4
979
1001
Sentence severity has increased in England and Wales in recent years. The causes of the increase remain unclear. One possible explanation relates to the introduction of sentencing guidelines, which seem to coincide in time with the increase in sentence severity. To date, investigations of this hypothesis have been limited to simple exploratory analyses or to specific offences. We use a new scale of sentence severity-developed using Thurstone scaling and the participation of 21 magistrates- and time-series modelling to explore whether a causal effect can be attributed to seven different guidelines. We corroborate the existence of an increase in sentence severity; however, we do not find conclusive evidence pointing at the guidelines having caused it.
0007-0955
10.1093/bjc/azz005
Grant Details