Peer-Reviewed Journal Details
Mandatory Fields
Arismendi J.;Prokopczuk M.
Applied Mathematical Finance
A moment-based analytic approximation of the risk-neutral density of American options
Optional Fields
American multi-asset options higher order moments Multi-asset risk-neutral density
© 2017 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group. The price of a European option can be computed as the expected value of the payoff function under the risk-neutral measure. For American options and path-dependent options in general, this principle cannot be applied. In this paper, we derive a model-free analytical formula for the implied risk-neutral density based on the implied moments of the implicit European contract under which the expected value will be the price of the equivalent payoff with the American exercise condition. The risk-neutral density is semi-parametric as it is the result of applying the multivariate generalized Edgeworth expansion, where the moments of the American density are obtained by a reverse engineering application of the least-squares method. The theory of multivariate truncated moments is employed for approximating the option price, with important consequences for the hedging of variance, skewness and kurtosis swaps.
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